Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒08:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K)
2-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mynavi Sendai (K) nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mynavi Sendai (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mynavi Sendai (K) had 46% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 54%, shots finished 16-18.

What was the final score of Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mynavi Sendai (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mynavi Sendai (K) 34%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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