Dundela 4-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

Dundela
4-0 HT 1-0
Ards FC
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Dundela vs Ards FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.61
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
24%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.4pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundela v Ards FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
2.48/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.65
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Dundela vs Ards FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ards FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
23.09.2023 Dundela Dundela 0-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Dundela Dundela 2-4 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.03.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-5 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
31.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
23.09.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1

Dundela 4-0 Ards FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundela
4-0
AWAY Ards FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela ran out comfortable winners over Ards FC 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundela as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dundela had 55% of the ball to Ards FC's 45%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dundela and 2.67 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Ards FC?

Dundela 4-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dundela 44%, draw 27%, Ards FC 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundela), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundela) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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