02/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Iskra vs Kom Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
52%
21%
Draw
27%
33%
Away Win
22%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Iskra v Kom — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Iskra
The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kom
The Market 25%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-26% /
-26%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
-32%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
286 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
240 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Iskra vs Kom Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Iskra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Kom
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
7
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
8
2
Corners
5
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Iskra vs Kom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Iskra squeezed past Kom 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Iskra as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Iskra vs Kom?
Iskra 1-0 Kom in the Montenegro - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Iskra vs Kom?
Before kick-off our model rated a Iskra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Iskra 46%, draw 21%, Kom 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iskra) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Iskra)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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