Alajuelense 4-0 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.6pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.9pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.46/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.96
-6% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +24%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
27.07.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
13.03.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-2 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.01.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-5 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
14.08.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
20.07.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
4-0
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense ran out comfortable winners over Santos de Guapiles 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Alajuelense had 67% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 33%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?

Alajuelense 4-0 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 68%, draw 20%, Santos de Guapiles 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →