02/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Osogovo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
51%
29%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bashkimi Kumanovo v Osogovo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bashkimi Kumanovo
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Osogovo
The Market 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
330 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
294 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Osogovo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bashkimi Kumanovo edged past Osogovo 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bashkimi Kumanovo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Osogovo?
Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Osogovo in the North Makedonya - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Osogovo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bashkimi Kumanovo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bashkimi Kumanovo 43%, draw 29%, Osogovo 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bashkimi Kumanovo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bashkimi Kumanovo)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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MAKE2
More North Makedonya - 2nd Division
2 Mar 2024