02/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Ohrid vs Pobeda Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
51%
4-5
26%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
59%
Home Win
72%
19%
Draw
18%
22%
Away Win
9%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ohrid v Pobeda — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ohrid
The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pobeda
The Market 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
480 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
228 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ohrid vs Pobeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ohrid squeezed past Pobeda 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ohrid as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
What was the final score of Ohrid vs Pobeda?
Ohrid 1-0 Pobeda in the North Makedonya - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ohrid vs Pobeda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ohrid win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ohrid 59%, draw 19%, Pobeda 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ohrid), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ohrid)
✓ BTTS No
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MAKE2
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2 Mar 2024