02/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Pelister vs Kamenica-Sasa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
37%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
42%
25%
Draw
29%
25%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pelister v Kamenica-Sasa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pelister
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kamenica-Sasa
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-24%
/
-55%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
318 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
299 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pelister vs Kamenica-Sasa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pelister beat Kamenica-Sasa 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pelister as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Pelister vs Kamenica-Sasa?
Pelister 2-0 Kamenica-Sasa in the North Makedonya - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pelister vs Kamenica-Sasa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pelister win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pelister 50%, draw 25%, Kamenica-Sasa 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pelister), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Pelister)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MAKE2
More North Makedonya - 2nd Division
2 Mar 2024