Ismaily 0-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.33/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.28
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.3 Crosses 19.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
0-1
AWAY Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0.32 xG 0.85
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
387 Passes 212
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla edged past Ismaily 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ismaily at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ismaily had 61% of the ball to Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's 39%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.32 to 0.85.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Ismaily 0-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 45%, draw 29%, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ismaily) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ismaily) ✓ Under 2.5
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