Auersmacher 5-2 FC Bitburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
44%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Auersmacher win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
49%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auersmacher The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bitburg The Market 29%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-100% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Auersmacher vs FC Bitburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auersmacher cruised past FC Bitburg 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auersmacher as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Auersmacher vs FC Bitburg?

Auersmacher 5-2 FC Bitburg in the Germany - Oberliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auersmacher vs FC Bitburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auersmacher win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Auersmacher 56%, draw 23%, FC Bitburg 21%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auersmacher), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auersmacher) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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