02/03/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Dudenhofen vs Baumholder Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
43%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
74%
20%
Draw
15%
31%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dudenhofen v Baumholder — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dudenhofen
The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Baumholder
The Market 14%
-24% /
-24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+68% /
+68%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.00
-45%
/
+64%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-39%
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
17
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
3
435 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
233 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dudenhofen vs Baumholder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dudenhofen beat Baumholder 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Dudenhofen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Dudenhofen vs Baumholder?
Dudenhofen 2-0 Baumholder in the Germany - Oberliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dudenhofen vs Baumholder?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dudenhofen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dudenhofen 50%, draw 20%, Baumholder 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dudenhofen), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dudenhofen)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
2 Mar 2024