02/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Essingen vs Nöttingen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
45%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
37%
36%
Draw
31%
26%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Essingen v Nöttingen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Essingen
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nöttingen
The Market 36%
-48% /
-48%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-46% /
-46%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/3.00
-100%
/
+48%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+43%
/
-28%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
290 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
271 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Essingen vs Nöttingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Essingen edged past Nöttingen 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 36% / 26% — and on the day Essingen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Essingen vs Nöttingen?
Essingen 1-0 Nöttingen in the Germany - Oberliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Essingen vs Nöttingen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Essingen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Essingen 38%, draw 36%, Nöttingen 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Essingen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Essingen)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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OBER
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2 Mar 2024