02/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Fernwald vs Bayern Alzenau Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
14%
23%
Draw
20%
47%
Away Win
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fernwald v Bayern Alzenau — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fernwald
The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bayern Alzenau
The Market 71%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
41%
Ball Possession
59%
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
250 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
404 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fernwald vs Bayern Alzenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fernwald nicked a narrow win over Bayern Alzenau 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Bayern Alzenau at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Fernwald vs Bayern Alzenau?
Fernwald 1-0 Bayern Alzenau in the Germany - Oberliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fernwald vs Bayern Alzenau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Alzenau win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fernwald 29%, draw 23%, Bayern Alzenau 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bayern Alzenau) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Bayern Alzenau)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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OBER
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2 Mar 2024