02/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Mutschelbach vs VfR Mannheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
27%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mutschelbach v VfR Mannheim — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mutschelbach
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
VfR Mannheim
EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-12%
/
-26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
330 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
335 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mutschelbach vs VfR Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mutschelbach saw off VfR Mannheim 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mutschelbach as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Mutschelbach vs VfR Mannheim?
Mutschelbach 2-0 VfR Mannheim in the Germany - Oberliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mutschelbach vs VfR Mannheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mutschelbach win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mutschelbach 43%, draw 27%, VfR Mannheim 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mutschelbach) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mutschelbach)
✗ Over 2.5
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OBER
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2 Mar 2024