Club Guarani 1-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 2 Mar 2024

Club Guarani
1-1 HT 0-1
Cerro Porteno
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2024

Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
40%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-14.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Guarani v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
0.83/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.91
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
235 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
18.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.04.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.02.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
23.10.2022 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
22.08.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR

Club Guarani 1-1 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani and Cerro Porteno shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 49% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 51%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Guarani and 1.83 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno?

Club Guarani 1-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 31%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →