Alexandria 0-1 Tunari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division Play-Out, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alexandria The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunari The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alexandria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tunari
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
22.08.2017 Alexandria 5-3 HT 0-2 Tunari Tunari ROK
POST-MATCH Alexandria vs Tunari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunari edged past Alexandria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alexandria at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Alexandria vs Tunari?

Alexandria 0-1 Tunari in the Romania - 1st Division Play-Out on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alexandria vs Tunari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alexandria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alexandria 46%, draw 25%, Tunari 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alexandria) ✗ Over 2.5
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ROM2 More Romania - 1st Division Play-Out
2 Mar 2024
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