UTA Arad 3-2 U Craiova 1948 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY U Craiova 1948 EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.65/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.75
-30% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY U Craiova 1948
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 2-3 HT 1-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
19.05.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
04.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROK
22.01.2023 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 1-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
26.08.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 2-0 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 ROM
01.05.2022 U Craiova 1948 U Craiova 1948 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
3-2
AWAY U Craiova 1948
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad nicked a narrow win over U Craiova 1948 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day UTA Arad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, UTA Arad had 53% of the ball to U Craiova 1948's 47%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTA Arad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTA Arad and 1.00 for U Craiova 1948.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948?

UTA Arad 3-2 U Craiova 1948 in the Romania - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 39%, draw 27%, U Craiova 1948 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
2 Mar 2024
18:00 Hermannstadt vs Otelul Galati Analysis →
21:00 SSC Farul vs CFR Cluj Analysis →