APR Kigali 1-0 Etincelles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ruanda - National Futbol League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APR Kigali The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Etincelles The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH APR Kigali vs Etincelles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APR Kigali squeezed past Etincelles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had APR Kigali as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of APR Kigali vs Etincelles?

APR Kigali 1-0 Etincelles in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APR Kigali vs Etincelles?

Before kick-off our model rated a APR Kigali win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split APR Kigali 54%, draw 22%, Etincelles 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APR Kigali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APR Kigali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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