02/03/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Teungueth vs Ouakam Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
31%
4-5
30%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Teungueth win — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
63%
24%
Draw
21%
22%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Teungueth v Ouakam — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Teungueth
The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ouakam
The Market 20%
-39% /
-39%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-52%
/
+116%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
439 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Teungueth vs Ouakam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Teungueth edged past Ouakam 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Teungueth as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Teungueth vs Ouakam?
Teungueth 2-1 Ouakam in the Senegal - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Teungueth vs Ouakam?
Before kick-off our model rated a Teungueth win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Teungueth 54%, draw 24%, Ouakam 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teungueth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Teungueth)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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More Senegal - 1st Division
2 Mar 2024