Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.3
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.95/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.72
-23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
24.4 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Fateh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.77 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
351 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 5-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
11.02.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
17.09.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
20.03.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
22.12.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
21.02.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-1
AWAY Al Fateh
1.30 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
377 Passes 395
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Fateh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 49% of the ball to Al Fateh's 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.30 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.83 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 51%, draw 22%, Al Fateh 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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