Chiangmai 1-0 Phrae United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 2 Mar 2024

Chiangmai
1-0 HT 0-0
Phrae United
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Thailand - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Chiangmai vs Phrae United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
24%
+11.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
36%
Away Win
50%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chiangmai v Phrae United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangmai EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Phrae United EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.27/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.26
-1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Chiangmai vs Phrae United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangmai
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Phrae United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2023 Chiangmai Chiangmai 0-0 HT 0-0 Phrae United TAY1
17.09.2022 Phrae United 1-2 HT 1-1 Chiangmai Chiangmai TAY1
19.03.2022 Phrae United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chiangmai Chiangmai TAY1
08.12.2021 Chiangmai Chiangmai 1-0 HT 0-0 Phrae United TAY1
POST-MATCH Chiangmai vs Phrae United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangmai nicked a narrow win over Phrae United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Chiangmai made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chiangmai had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chiangmai and 1.00 for Phrae United.

What was the final score of Chiangmai vs Phrae United?

Chiangmai 1-0 Phrae United in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangmai vs Phrae United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chiangmai win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chiangmai 36%, draw 28%, Phrae United 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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