Chebba 1-0 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chebba EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Chebba vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chebba edged past EM Mahdia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chebba as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Chebba vs EM Mahdia?

Chebba 1-0 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chebba vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chebba win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chebba 50%, draw 21%, EM Mahdia 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chebba), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chebba) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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