US Tataouine 1-0 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.33
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Tataouine
1-0
AWAY EGS Gafsa
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH US Tataouine vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Tataouine squeezed past EGS Gafsa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had US Tataouine as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, US Tataouine had 49% of the ball to EGS Gafsa's 51%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of US Tataouine vs EGS Gafsa?

US Tataouine 1-0 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Tataouine vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Tataouine win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split US Tataouine 44%, draw 29%, EGS Gafsa 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Tataouine), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (US Tataouine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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