Thanh Hoa 1-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
2.20/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
+34% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2023 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-2 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
13.11.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 2-3 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
24.07.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
28.04.2021 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 1-2 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai edged past Thanh Hoa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Thanh Hoa carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hoang Anh Gia Lai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Thanh Hoa and 2.25 for Hoang Anh Gia Lai.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Thanh Hoa 1-2 Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 57%, draw 22%, Hoang Anh Gia Lai 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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