Green Eagles 1-1 ZESCO United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Zambiya - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
36%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Green Eagles win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Eagles The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY ZESCO United The Market 16%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Eagles
1W-1D-0L
AWAY ZESCO United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.03.2022 Green Eagles Green Eagles 0-0 ZESCO United ZESCO United ZAM
06.11.2021 ZESCO United ZESCO United 0-2 HT 0-0 Green Eagles Green Eagles ZAM
POST-MATCH Green Eagles vs ZESCO United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Eagles and ZESCO United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Green Eagles at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Green Eagles had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Green Eagles and 0.00 for ZESCO United.

What was the final score of Green Eagles vs ZESCO United?

Green Eagles 1-1 ZESCO United in the Zambiya - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Eagles vs ZESCO United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Green Eagles 58%, draw 21%, ZESCO United 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Green Eagles), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Eagles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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