Brisbane City 2-4 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 2 Mar 2025

Brisbane City
2-4 HT 2-0
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.33
No
42%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
71%
-13.6pp
42%
BTTS No
29%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane City v Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.92/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.86
+37% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.73 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
308 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-4 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
23.04.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-0 HT 2-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
06.08.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-4 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
08.05.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-1 HT 0-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
08.10.2020 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
29.06.2019 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-3 HT 1-2 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane beat Brisbane City 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Eastern Suburbs Brisbane found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Brisbane City and 0.67 for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Brisbane City 2-4 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 38%, draw 24%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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