Belshina 1-2 ML Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
12.23
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
6%
+14.7pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.8pp
59%
Away Win
77%
-17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belshina EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Rogachev EU Bookmakers 80%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belshina
1-2
AWAY ML Rogachev
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belshina vs ML Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ML Rogachev squeezed past Belshina 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ML Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belshina had 36% of the ball to ML Rogachev's 64%, shots finished 3-17.

What was the final score of Belshina vs ML Rogachev?

Belshina 1-2 ML Rogachev in the Belarus - Cup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belshina vs ML Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an ML Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Belshina 21%, draw 20%, ML Rogachev 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Rogachev), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ML Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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