Newcastle 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 2 Mar 2025

Newcastle
1-2 HT 1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.21
Over Pick
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.51
No
48%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.33
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
24%
2.83
6+
10%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.88
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.05
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2 ✓
16%
7.1
X/X
13%
5.33
2/1
5%
22.55
2/2
17%
4.59
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · X/2 at 7.1 — our 16% vs market 10.4%. Landed.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Newcastle v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Newcastle The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion The Market 33%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.03 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.85
0.64 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.1
17.0 Crosses 28.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.21 xG 1.37
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
230 Passes 519
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
28 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 0-0 Newcastle Newcastle HAZPL
05.01.2013 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Newcastle FAK
28.01.2012 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Newcastle FAK

Newcastle 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle
1-2
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.83 xG 1.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
441 Passes 492
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 45
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Brighton & Hove Albion shaded a tight game against Newcastle 2-1 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Brighton & Hove Albion found the edge the numbers couldn't.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.51, about 66%.

Under the surface, Newcastle had 48% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 52%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.83 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Newcastle and 1.33 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion Result & Final Score

Newcastle 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - FA Cup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newcastle 35%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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