Mouloudia Oujda 2-2 Raja Beni Mellal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.63
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
34%
Draw
35%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.23
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Raja Beni Mellal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
27.08.2020 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 HT 0-1 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS
23.12.2019 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 1-2 HT 0-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
POST-MATCH Mouloudia Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mouloudia Oujda and Raja Beni Mellal shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mouloudia Oujda had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mouloudia Oujda and 1.00 for Raja Beni Mellal.

What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Mouloudia Oujda 2-2 Raja Beni Mellal in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 33%, draw 34%, Raja Beni Mellal 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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