Naft Maysan 1-2 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.75/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.58
+81% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Maysan
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Karkh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.02.2024 Al Karkh Al Karkh 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh nicked a narrow win over Naft Maysan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Al Karkh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al Karkh?

Naft Maysan 1-2 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 40%, draw 34%, Al Karkh 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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