Tochigi SC 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.3
Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-2
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Tegevajaro Miyazaki found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 44% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 56%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Tochigi SC 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 37%, draw 31%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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