Shabana 4-1 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.5pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 40%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.71/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.82
+94% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-0 HT 2-0 Shabana Shabana KEN
POST-MATCH Shabana vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana cruised past Homeboyz 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Homeboyz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shabana vs Homeboyz?

Shabana 4-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabana vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shabana 30%, draw 29%, Homeboyz 41%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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