Muğlaspor 1-0 Nevşehir Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+12.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.7pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muğlaspor EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevşehir Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muğlaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nevşehir Belediyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.03.2020 Muğlaspor Muğlaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Nevşehir Belediyespor Nevşehir Belediyespor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muğlaspor
1-0
AWAY Nevşehir Belediyespor
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muğlaspor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muğlaspor edged past Nevşehir Belediyespor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muğlaspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Muğlaspor had 60% of the ball to Nevşehir Belediyespor's 40%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Muğlaspor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor?

Muğlaspor 1-0 Nevşehir Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muğlaspor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muğlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Muğlaspor 52%, draw 26%, Nevşehir Belediyespor 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muğlaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muğlaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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