Arabi 1-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2025

Arabi
1-2 HT 0-0
Al Najma
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Arabi vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arabi v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.53/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.57
+22% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Arabi vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Najma
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 3-0 HT 3-0 Arabi SUUD1
05.03.2024 Arabi 5-2 HT 3-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
02.10.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma nicked a narrow win over Arabi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arabi and 2.33 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Najma?

Arabi 1-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arabi 34%, draw 30%, Al Najma 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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