Östers 1-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 2 Apr 2024

Östers
1-1 HT 0-1
Degerfors
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östers vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
11%
4.33
X/2
12%
7.73
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
11%
5.62
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östers v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.64/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.52
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Östers vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Degerfors
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
17.10.2020 Östers Östers 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
29.07.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 3-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
26.10.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
16.04.2019 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
02.03.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 1-3 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
20.10.2018 Degerfors Degerfors 1-3 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2

Östers 1-1 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
1-1
AWAY Degerfors
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Östers vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers and Degerfors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Östers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Östers had 63% of the ball to Degerfors's 37%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Östers and 1.33 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Östers vs Degerfors?

Östers 1-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Östers 44%, draw 27%, Degerfors 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Östers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östers) ✓ Under 2.5
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