Juventus 2-0 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.54
Over
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.34
2-3
33%
1.78
4-5
25%
5.18
6+
6%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
15%
3.77
X/2
5%
9.39
X/X
17%
3.89
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
18%
8.45
2/X
3%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.77/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.95
+3% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.5 Crosses 19.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lazio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 538
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
20 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
16.09.2023 Juventus Juventus 3-1 HT 2-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
08.04.2023 Lazio Lazio 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
02.02.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTK
13.11.2022 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
16.05.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 2-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-0
AWAY Lazio
0.61 xG 0.42
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 7
321 Passes 464
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus beat Lazio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Juventus had 42% of the ball to Lazio's 58%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.61 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Juventus and 1.00 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Lazio?

Juventus 2-0 Lazio in the Italy - Cup on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Juventus 44%, draw 28%, Lazio 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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