Central Cordoba Santiago 3-1 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 2 Apr 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago
3-1 HT 3-0
Quilmes
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Cup – 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago vs Quilmes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
6.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Cordoba Santiago v Quilmes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 29%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.04
-100% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
– Crosses 18.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Central Cordoba Santiago vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago saw off Quilmes 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 35% / 25%) promised a tight game; Central Cordoba Santiago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Central Cordoba Santiago vs Quilmes?

Central Cordoba Santiago 3-1 Quilmes in the Argentina - Cup on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Cordoba Santiago vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Cordoba Santiago win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Central Cordoba Santiago 40%, draw 35%, Quilmes 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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