Platense 1-2 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.36
Over 2.5
25%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.4
No
72%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
54%
1.87
2-3 Goals
27%
1.89
4-5 Goals
14%
7.47
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.87 — our 54% vs market 45.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.9
X/1
11%
6.08
X/2 EV+ ✓
26%
4.54
X/X
27%
3.08
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
5%
3.61
2/X
3%
15.5
Value flag · X/2 at 4.54 — our 26% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.8pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.2pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
75%
Under 2.5
70%
+5.2pp
25%
Over 2.5
30%
-5.2pp
28%
BTTS Yes
38%
-9.9pp
72%
BTTS No
62%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.03/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.61
-2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
221 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.8 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
213 Passes 288
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
07.11.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-0 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ARJ
05.07.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
05.06.2022 Platense Platense 2-1 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
05.12.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-2 HT 2-1 Platense Platense ARJ
06.03.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 3-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-2
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.88 xG 2.23
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
157 Passes 361
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Platense vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz squeezed past Platense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 36% / 35% — and on the day Godoy Cruz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Platense had 37% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 63%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.88 to 2.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Godoy Cruz's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Platense and 1.83 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Platense vs Godoy Cruz?

Platense 1-2 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Platense 28%, draw 36%, Godoy Cruz 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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