Ajman 1-2 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
14.09.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 4-1 HT 3-1 Ajman Ajman BAELK
30.08.2023 Ajman Ajman 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
04.02.2023 Ajman Ajman 4-1 HT 4-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.09.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
06.02.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr edged past Ajman 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Nasr found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajman and 2.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Nasr?

Ajman 1-2 Al Nasr in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ajman 39%, draw 23%, Al Nasr 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajman) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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