Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.92/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.73
-13% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Khalidiya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 7-1 HT 4-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.03.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-3 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
02.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
11.09.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
16.04.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-2 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
22.03.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0-1
AWAY Khalidiya
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya squeezed past Al Ahli Manama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 45% of the ball to Khalidiya's 55%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 2.50 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya?

Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 26%, draw 29%, Khalidiya 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
2 Apr 2024
21:45 Al Hadd vs Al Shabab Manama Analysis →
21:45 Busaiteen vs Sitra Analysis →