Wilstermann 3-4 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
187 Passes 180
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
3-4
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.07 xG 1.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
255 Passes 182
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ squeezed past Wilstermann 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wilstermann at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wilstermann had 57% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.07 to 1.52.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Wilstermann 3-4 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 54%, draw 24%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 22%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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