Odense 0-1 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 2 Apr 2024

Odense
0-1 HT 0-1
Vejle
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
17%
8.62
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.71
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.65/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.61
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
16.1 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vejle
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Vejle Vejle 0-1 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
01.09.2023 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
21.05.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-1 HT 0-1 Odense Odense DAN
14.04.2022 Odense Odense 2-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
20.03.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-0 HT 2-0 Odense Odense DAN
01.10.2021 Odense Odense 6-0 HT 4-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odense
0-1
AWAY Vejle
1.06 xG 1.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
390 Passes 172
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 30
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Odense vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle squeezed past Odense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Odense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Odense had 65% of the ball to Vejle's 35%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.06 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Odense and 1.17 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Odense vs Vejle?

Odense 0-1 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odense vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Odense 42%, draw 27%, Vejle 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Odense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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