Pohang Steelers 1-1 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
16%
3.91
X/2
10%
8.54
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
8%
6.86
2/X
8%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.47
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
22.9 Crosses 12.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
442 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
02.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
04.03.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-2 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
06.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
21.06.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
06.04.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-1
AWAY Suwon City
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
517 Passes 232
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers and Suwon City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 67% of the ball to Suwon City's 33%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pohang Steelers and 0.83 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Suwon City?

Pohang Steelers 1-1 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 50%, draw 26%, Suwon City 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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