Saburtalo 3-0 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.01/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.71
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2023 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GURCK
08.10.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
05.06.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
30.04.2023 Saburtalo 3-3 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
03.03.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
21.10.2022 Saburtalo 2-4 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
3-0
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo swept aside Dinamo Batumi 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Batumi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 33% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 67%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saburtalo and 2.00 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?

Saburtalo 3-0 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 33%, draw 25%, Dinamo Batumi 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Over 2.5
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