Odisha FC 3-1 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.03/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.92
+46% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.2
16.5 Crosses 11.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Punjab FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.83 xG 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
547 Passes 251
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
3-1
AWAY Punjab FC
1.57 xG 1.05
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
609 Passes 211
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC beat Punjab FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 71% of the ball to Punjab FC's 29%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.57 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Punjab FC?

Odisha FC 3-1 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 50%, draw 22%, Punjab FC 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →