Birmingham City U21 3-1 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
4.0
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-16.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.77/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.23
-27% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
433 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 saw off Crewe Alexandra U21 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birmingham City U21 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Birmingham City U21 3-1 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 56%, draw 21%, Crewe Alexandra U21 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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