Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Odra Opole — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Odra Opole EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.11/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.38
+17% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Odra Opole
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Odra Opole Odra Opole 0-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
2-1
AWAY Odra Opole
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk nicked a narrow win over Odra Opole 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lechia Gdansk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 62% of the ball to Odra Opole's 38%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole?

Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Odra Opole in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Odra Opole?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 52%, draw 27%, Odra Opole 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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