Warta Poznan 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.82
Draw
32%
2.96
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.55
Over
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.32
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.25
6+
2%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.53
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
12%
5.76
X/2
15%
5.0
X/X
22%
3.59
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.7
2/X
5%
13.75
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Warta Poznan The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin The Market 40%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
1.08 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
271 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 354
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
31.03.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
09.09.2022 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-2 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
18.03.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-4 HT 0-3 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
25.09.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
15.02.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1 - 1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
0.75 xG 1.07
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
218 Passes 392
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Warta Poznan and Zaglebie Lubin traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

The preview numbers (30% / 32% / 38%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Zaglebie Lubin saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.75 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Warta Poznan against 0.83 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin Result & Final Score

Warta Poznan 1 - 1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 30%, draw 32%, Zaglebie Lubin 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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