Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novi Pazar v Backa Topola — Team-Based Signals
Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
4-0
HT 2-0
Novi Pazar
SIRBK
2-1
HT 0-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
0-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
1-1
HT 1-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
2-0
HT 1-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
Novi Pazar 3-4 Backa Topola — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola squeezed past Novi Pazar 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novi Pazar had 56% of the ball to Backa Topola's 44%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 1.08 to 2.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.50 for Backa Topola.
What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola?
Novi Pazar 3-4 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Backa Topola?
Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 30%, draw 28%, Backa Topola 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.