Prachuap vs Trat Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Prachuap v Trat — Team-Based Signals
Prachuap 2-1 Trat — Actual Match Statistics
Prachuap squeezed past Trat 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Prachuap as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Prachuap had 41% of the ball to Trat's 59%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Prachuap's control.
What was the final score of Prachuap vs Trat?
Prachuap 2-1 Trat in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Trat?
Before kick-off our model rated a Prachuap win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 49%, draw 26%, Trat 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prachuap) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.