Banfield 1-0 Villa Mitre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Villa Mitre EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
4.26/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.47
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
1-0
AWAY Villa Mitre
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Villa Mitre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banfield squeezed past Villa Mitre 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Banfield as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 1-0.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Villa Mitre?

Banfield 1-0 Villa Mitre in the Argentina - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Villa Mitre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banfield win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Banfield 57%, draw 24%, Villa Mitre 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Banfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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